Dak Prescott contract rumors: How noteworthy he’s in general paid, and why he deserves it – CBS Sports
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Dak Prescott contract rumors: How noteworthy he’s in general paid, and why he deserves it – CBS Sports

Cue the song, of us.

Even when the deal is now the books for defensive waste DeMarcus Lawrence, the Dallas Cowboys received no respite regarding further contract negotiations. In somewhat of a from-the-frying-pan-into-the-fire remark of affairs, they went from working vehemently to stable their finest pass rusher since DeMarcus Ware to locking horns with their three finest players on offense, simultaneously. As it stands, the club is in active negotiations with quarterback Dak Prescott, vast receiver Amari Cooper and working abet Ezekiel Elliott — with the 2-time rushing champ at indicate retaining out of coaching camp to push talks on his extension forward.

For Prescott, whom the team is piquant to manufacture the very good-paid player in franchise historical past handiest months after granting the respect to Lawrence, issues are somewhat extra sophisticated than dialogue with the others. On myth of his looming extension might be the biggest, it requires that noteworthy extra dialog from both facets of the desk, and Prescott is moreover in no slither to accumulate his deal performed.

The longer he waits, the extra he’ll accumulate paid, because that’s how market worth tends to work. 

To that time, carrot-chasing the frequent annual wage mark is basically moot unless it be contextually linked to size of extension and assured money, so studies that the Cowboys supplied Prescott a deal worth $30 million per yr that would now not provide the further dinky print fail to paint the general picture. Assuming that is appropriate, in conjunction with the rumored $Forty million counteroffer from Prescott, the magic number might possibly well simply soundless and does realistically rest between $32 million and $35 million per annum — the inexperienced zone between the deal awarded to Carson Wentz in June and the one given to Russell Wilson in April.

Make no longer wager on Prescott surpassing Wilson by $5 million per yr, if at all, unless you revel in shedding your possess money. That picture has moreover now been disputed, which furthers my point on warding off the proverbial carrot slip, because even leaked knowledge is section of the negotiation process. Groups robotically time leaks and frame them in a attain that applies stress to players, sparkling players will most doubtless be made to search egocentric in the occasion that they acknowledge by process of the media in combative establish. The retaliation most incessantly comes from an upset agent, 

Size of contract and assured money on this type of deal? 

No one but is aware of, and that is why the whole leaked intel might possibly well simply moreover be viewed as nothing extra than a “framing” by one aspect or both. Lawrence experienced this identical thing in April, nonetheless the nature of recency bias might possibly well fabricate the Lawrence talks feel admire they had been years ago when, in actuality, issues had been exceedingly contentious between the aged pass rusher and the Cowboys handiest four immediate months ago. It took Lawrence being discipline two franchise tags — the 2nd he refused to stamp — and having to weaponize a torn labrum in repeat to drive the hand of the entrance office into lastly caving. 

The project with Prescott is soundless at indicate certain on both facets, nonetheless never put out of your mind how unforgiving the blueprint might possibly well simply moreover be.

To that time, team exec Stephen Jones began looking out to anchor Prescott’s contract search recordsdata from months ago. Whereas he has continuously praised Prescott, the grasp tactician moreover began the predictable pass of negotiating thru the media, as he’s performed with Lawrence and as NFL teams robotically raise out — the aim being to tilt leverage of their choose on by process of fan stress and recordsdata headlines. For that reason you will hear Jones project Prescott because the ready king of the monetary roster throne in Dallas, nonetheless in the identical breath remind you why he mustn’t be paid admire Wilson.

“You’re talking about two guys there — between [Aaron] Rodgers and between Russell Wilson — that have won Glorious Bowls and that have had success, yr-in and yr-out,” team exec Stephen Jones urged 105.3FM the Fan this offseason. “Which have taken their teams to the playoffs. Both of them had been to a pair of Glorious Bowls. Smartly, no longer lower than I do know Russell has been.

“Those are guys who are going to manufacture those kinds of jumps, nonetheless I am no longer concerned. I judge that, on the waste of the day, if there’s any position that has to support an witness out no longer gorgeous for themselves nonetheless they moreover need to support an witness out on their team — by attain of how noteworthy cap house they absorb — these quarterbacks are those guys. On the waste of the day, they’re going to manufacture plenty of money. The larger thing for them by attain of their profession, and what they’re all about is how noteworthy did they eradicate?

“What number of Glorious Bowl rings raise out they have gotten on their fingers? Those are all mountainous deals and they know in some unspecified time in the future in the occasion that they absorb too noteworthy cap house on the waste of the day it’s going to also damage their possibilities of winning.”

Carry out no mistake about it, these are gorgeous stances to purchase, nonetheless so is Prescott looking out to maximize the earnings on his 2nd contract after being paid 10x less to retain out noteworthy extra than Wentz — as one example. Comparing those two unearths gorgeous how compelling Prescott’s argument is, statistically talking.

Listed right here are their profession numbers, aspect-by-aspect.

Carson Wentz

Forty

23-17

Zero-Zero

10,152

70

28

Sixty three.70

eleven.Zero

Ninety two.5

four

four

Ninety two

Dak Prescott

50

32-16

1-1

eleven,670

seventy two

27

Sixty 5.24

eleven.2

ninety five.9

8

14

113

There are admittedly extra variables that rush into assessing who’s subjectively greater — admire film, hurt/absence of satellite stars, etc. — nonetheless Prescott trumps Wentz in a statistical head-to-head, and that involves being four-2 in opposition to the Eagles. Contrarily, Wentz is 2-three when going thru the Prescott and Co. The above numbers are reasonably telling in a diversity of the way, and whereas one aspect of the aisle will recount “if the Cowboys weren’t shedding so most incessantly, Prescott wouldn’t need to near from in the abet of the general time,” it’s going to also moreover be argued that if Wentz was extra good uninteresting in the sport, the Eagles would have the next eradicate-loss picture with him on the helm.

None of right here’s to recount Wentz is now not at all times in actuality adequate of being elite, because he’s, nonetheless the actuality is the actuality, and Wentz has been circuitously chasing Prescott since they both entered the league in 2016.

To the Cowboys’ point, though, Wilson and Aaron Rodgers — the latter proudly owning the throne as perfect-paid NFL QB sooner than the worn touchdown his 2019 payday — both have Glorious Bowl appearances and the hardware to indicate for it, and that is why Prescott’s deal will doubtless no longer eclipse what was witnessed in the Pacific Northwest. The fourth-yr QB does produce other issues that raise out pass the needle in a in actuality true attain for him, on the other hand. His 32-16 traditional season picture has handiest four fewer wins than Wilson’s first three years in the league and 5 extra wins than Rodgers in his first triad of seasons as a starter. 

Conserving with comparisons of the main three seasons of each QB, Prescott’s touchdown-to-interception ratio is straight equivalent to that of Wilson, and his 67% accuracy price surpasses both Wilson and Rodgers in that category. Wilson obviously bests all three by acting in two Glorious Bowls in his first three seasons and winning one among them, and that is why Prescott might possibly well no longer blow past his contract numbers, nonetheless there’s extra than adequate evidence to pork up him touchdown a deal that will pay him no lower than $32 million per yr — with a stable lean toward $34 million or so.

In preparation for the coming talks, Prescott fired his ragged agent in 2018, Jeff Guerriero of ProSource Sports, and signed with Todd France of Inventive Artists Agency (CAA), the mega-conglomerate extensively revered as one among the waste agencies in the arena of sports. A couple of of CAA’s possibilities at indicate in the NFL consist of Drew Brees, J.J. Watt, Philip Rivers and Rodgers. Each of those NFL stars are playing below leviathan-sized contracts with the respective teams, and the agent-change is something the Cowboys have surely seen earlier than. Tony Romo once fired agent Ken Kramer and signed with CAA in 2012, and one yr later inked a six-yr extension with the Cowboys worth $108 million and $fifty five million assured; and whereas that’s soundless seen this day as a gigantic contract, it bears declaring that was six years ago.

The wage cap on the time was $One hundred twenty.6 million, nonetheless now sits at $188.2 million after seeing consistent increases yr-over-yr, with the Cowboys themselves projected to have upwards of $A hundred million in cap house near subsequent offseason.

For folk that judge Prescott is “worth” handiest $18 million per yr, that’s what Romo earned extra than half-a-decade ago, and that is most incessantly backup QB money in 2019. The fact players admire Derek Carr and Jimmy Garoppolo develop $25 million per annum and $27.5 million per annum presents stable indication that when/if Prescott does stamp, the figures will most doubtless be substantially greater given the time passed since their deals and how their accomplishments stack up in opposition to Prescott’s. Additionally, for of us that’d drink the wage cap Kool-Reduction being dished out by those establish no longer realize the idea, the Cowboys are removed from a project that would one blueprint or the other cripple their roster-building plans if Prescott was paid his paunchy worth (market + roster). 

They’ve $24.5 million in cap house on the moment, and have not any paunchy-stamp free brokers they thought to utilize that money on. The aim of extending Prescott, vast receiver Amari Cooper and working abet Ezekiel Elliott — all of whom the team states have “high-5” presents in entrance of them — are the most pressing matters going thru them at indicate, and they might be able to afford all three plus the general fixings. Extending Cooper lessens his $13.9 million cap hit for 2019 and frees up money for the others if his coming season is restructured as section of the brand new deal, adding that noteworthy extra house to the pot. What they don’t use will roll over to 2020, and now you’re starting up to love that though the organization is selling the “team-excellent” angle and beating the drum labeled “please lend a hand us, we’re unhappy,” that’s simply no longer moral.

It be what they’re supposed to retain out, to be gorgeous, nonetheless that would now not fabricate it to any extent further unbiased.

Yes, there’s adequate money (and then some) to pay Prescott and all people else who deserves it, especially when factoring in contract expirations of 2nd- and 1/three-tier players in just a few months — be it organically or by entrance office drive.

To position it plainly, in the eternal phrases of Jay-Z:

“Cash ain’t a thang.”

Proprietor Jerry Jones concurs. 

“It be never regarding the money,” Jones outright admitted from the Cowboys’ pre-draft presser. “You’re going to exercise the money in our gadget. It be about how you allocate and raise out you allocate any of that for a probability. That is gorgeous instincts there. That is gorgeous saving it for, no longer a rainy day, nonetheless a brilliantly sunny day that you might possibly well accumulate of enterprise to retain out something particular.”

The final analysis is there is now not at all times an inexpensive angle to purchase that sees Prescott touchdown lower than market worth, gorgeous as there is now not any longer in actuality one that sees him being paid $Forty million per yr. It will doubtless all work itself out lastly, nonetheless no longer earlier than we all witness the organization position pawns as they glimpse fit. The identical would be acknowledged for Prescott’s agent, because they have gotten items of their very possess they’re going to pass as needed. The motion of negotiating an NFL contract morphs from a uninteresting groove to an all-out tango when there are ghastly numbers enthusiastic, and it be all simply rinse-and-repeat by attain of the replace of soccer.

The Cowboys have leverage. Prescott has leverage. They want to stamp him now. He will stamp when he’s ready. They’ll franchise mark him in 2020. He can stamp the mark and dare them to retain out it again, a la Kirk Cousins, who made money hand-over-fist with the Redskins with that monetary model. They’ll circuitously threaten to draft competition, nonetheless Prescott is aware of they’d need to either fail in 2019 to land a high ranking or mortgage their future in a draft replace.

Ah, the dance.

For now, though, it be gorgeous two partners looking out to lead certain of being the one who gets dipped.

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August 13, 2019
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